12-28-12 Last Opex "friday" of the year watchlist

CMG  - main watcher
HLF
OCZ
ONVO


watchlist with commentary featured here : http://stockhaven.com/stock-forum/watchlists-group1/pennies-picks-forum1/12-28-12-last-opex-friday-of-the-year-thread105.0/#postid-176

12-17-12 Coal stocks

Watch coals this week i think they will all make explosive moves
Coals have been an amazing short since early 2011 most down over 80% from their 2011 highs.  Now anyone who is still short will likely cover before the year end to lock in profits.   also coal looks to have bottom and i believe they will be huge winners in 2013 possibly double or triple from these levels


ACI 
ANR
JRCC

Stock watchlist featured here with commentary http://stockhaven.com/stock-forum/watchlists-group1/pennies-picks-forum1/12-17-12-coals-thread80.0/#postid-142

8x8 Inc. EGHT

I wanted to write about this a month ago but got lazy.  I believe this stock will be trading at $10 or higher in the next 6 months.    Recently this stock went from $4.50 to a high of  $7 in a Little over 2 months and currently consolidating after that big move.   The stock is currently up over 100% year to date.  So the stock does have a history of making big moves so why couldn't it go to $10 from $6.50  little over 3 bucks away.

some info on the company got it off google finance 

PE  6.6  avg in this sector 18 i  think 

Market cap : 470 million 

8x8,Inc. develops and markets telecommunications services for Internet protocol (IP), telephony and video applications, as well as contact center, Web-based conferencing and unified communications services, and cloud-based computing services. The Company offers the 8x8 Virtual Office hosted PBX (private branch exchange) service, 8x8 Virtual Contact Center service, 8x8 Virtual Office Pro unified communications solution and 8x8 Cloud-Based Computing Solutions. On June 17, 2011, 8x8 acquired Zerigo, Inc. In September 2011, the Company acquired Contactual, Inc.

They have beat earnings this past year from what i see and i believe they will keep doing so.  Next earnings report January 16th " not confirmed".

  

MAIN support: $5.80

Near term support $6.30  then $6

First hard resistance i see $8

Break over $7 we can see this speed up. 

The way im thinking of playing this is buying May 18 2013 options $7.50 strike currently .70-.75

that gives me 6 months for this to trade well over that and i believe thats enough time.    lets say this hits    

10-11 in the next 4 months that would value these over 2.50   from a .75 entry thats over 200%+ 

TARGET $10-12  in the next 6 months possibly higher maybe 15

When playing options long term u expose your self to time decay and the trade trade going against you.    

    

12-4-12 watchlist

SQNS
FSLR
OCZ
SVNT


Watchlist with commentary : http://stockhaven.com/stock-forum/watchlists-group1/pennies-picks-forum1/12-4-12-watchlist-thread53/#postid-89

Earnings for today 11/28/12

ARO   Aeropostale

Yes their clothes may suck but ANF and  AEO both beat.  i expect this to beat to

gap down from 19.50 it has i think if we get a beat and better guidance we could see 17-18 range.

if they down beat this time this could drop below $10   .  history for this shows lots of gap downs past 3 years

im gonna go against the history this time and if i play this going with 14 or 15 strike calls

on put side  if this doesnt beat and goes to 10 or lower those 12 strike puts going for .35 will be multi baggers


GES

move to 28-30 on a beat    the crazy scenario  move to 34 a 10 point move

i think  im doing the 25/28 call spread on ges
 pay .90 and max gain of 3  so 2 cons 180  $410 max profit
or just buy 1 25 call for 1.40
 this goes to 28 i sell for 3 maybe 3.50  extreme case 30 (5.50)or 34(9.50 )

 wday
the premium is 2 high and i would probably short this turd i think we will drop below ipo price  45 break maybe to 40

not playing but bearish on that

FSLR option trade 11/27/12 " First Solar"

Have you guys been following my twitter or reading my watchlists?

Today the market gave us a gift! It offered amazing risk reward opportunity and I took advantage of it.  The trade today was on First Solar (FSLR).

I was in stockhaven chat room giving basically a play by play on fslr right before the big move.
Said  FSLR is gearing on 5-15 min chart and second we break 26 we will squeeze to 27 and some change fast.  That squeeze happened and gave you opportunity for at least 150% gain on weeklies if not more in 5-10 minutes.  The daily chart was telling me today was the day be ready.  I was semi ready. that pull back in the first hour of the day i got shaken i sold half my position.  then i saw the gearing i purchased that position right back.  

As i was watching the 5 minute chart and felt the move about to come i was 10 seconds late from taking a huge position on the 26 weekly calls at .50  for a quick scalp on that pop.

Some examples of options return on FSLR move  Safest plays for weeklies u could have played 25 or 25.50 and gotten well over 100%

i still have monthly calls i sold all weekly calls.  i will be trading weekly calls tomorrow if i like the price action. i still think we head to 30 by friday

i traded the 25 weekly from .50 to 2.05
  the 25.50 weekly from .55 to 1.50
 27 monthlies from .88 to 1.50 still have half position.
long term position i tweeted about jan 24 strike calls from 2.40   today hit 4.15 - still long these

11/26/12 earnings week

We have a lot of companies reporting earnings this week   most of them on Wednesday/Thursday

The main ones i will play  - they report tuesday after market close
FMCN
GMCR  
PVH - i might play this not sure yet


some other stocks that are reporting that may make good daytrades
CHC     monday after close
GAME   monday after close
HI         monday after close
BV             monday after close
ADT            tuesday pre market
CSUN      tuesday pre market


Watchlist with commentary featured here:  http://stockhaven.com/stock-forum/watchlists-group1/pennies-picks-forum1/112612-some-earnings-thread38.0/#postid-68

11-20-12 watchlist

GCMR
AAPL
HGSH
BIDU
FSLR
zLC
CRM

watchlist featured here: 
http://stockhaven.com/stock-forum/watchlists-group1/pennies-picks-forum1/11-20-12-watchlist-thread31/

11-19-12 Thanksgiving Wathlist

Friday earnings gambles  over 500% winners


SHLD
SINA
Z
CRM
AAPL

Watchlist featured here : http://stockhaven.com/stock-forum/watchlists-group1/pennies-picks-forum1/11-19-12-thanksgiving-wathlist-thread29/#postid-49

11-15-12 earnings gambles $$$

GPS
MRVL
SHLD
SINA
TGT
DLTR
Arun
ADSK
BONT
DANG


Watchlist featured here with commentary and charts  : http://stockhaven.com/stock-forum/watchlists-group1/pennies-picks-forum1/11-15-12-earnings-gambles-thread24.0/#postid-35

11-13-12 watchlist

GMCR
DMND
FSLR
MSLP
IMH
VRNG
VHC

Watch list here : http://stockhaven.com/stock-forum/watchlists-group1/pennies-picks-forum1/11-13-12-watch-thread20.0/#postid-28

11-12-12 Watchlist

VRNG
IMG
FB
PCS
AAPL
DANG

Watch list featured here:
http://stockhaven.com/stock-forum/watchlists-group1/pennies-picks-forum1/11-12-12-watchlist-thread19.0/#postid-27

11-9-12 watch opex day Major aapl bounce?

Watchlist

AAPL
VHC
GRPN
ZIP
LGF

Here
 http://stockhaven.com/stock-forum/watchlists-group1/pennies-picks-forum1/11-9-12-opex-day-major-appl-bounce-thread12/#postid-19

11-8-12 Snow Day Watchlist -Market bounce near?

AAPL 

VHC
ANR 

VIZS 

 

Featured here : http://stockhaven.com/stockhaven-forum/?mingleforumaction=viewtopic&t=6.0#postid-10

Watchlist 11-7-12

GMCR-  above 25.30-25.50 this will rip hard. depending on market .  target will be 27.   support 25







FSLR-  24.50 support tomorrow  break above 25.10 this could squeeze to 27  depending on market.  or they announce some sort of news and this gaps to 26-27 tomorrow and ruins the trade for me lol





VHC - Bam!!  They won against Apple and have to pay 368 million rumors are.  i got it from here " http://appleinsider.com/articles/12/11/06/apple-loses-virnetx-patent-trial-ordered-to-pay-368m"

40% float short and some more probably jumped in the past week.    Dont know where its going i have to see where it opens tomorrow just a guess 35?

368 million is about 7-8$ cash  to stock price . so from the close of 26.30 so should be like $33

but this is in play tomorrow.  


AAPL -  IT may be a short on the VHC news

watchlist 11/6/12

FSLR-  above 23.50 tomorrow we head to 25 possibly higher depending on market.   Weekly options could make 100%+ move tomorrow watch them .

EGHT-  earnings winner.   i have a $9-10 target with a hold above 7      dec 22 expire 7.50 calls going for .30-.40  and feb 2013 expire going for .60.  This could possibly head much higher than 10.  
Support for tomorrow 6.60

little info on the company ceo on mad money http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000118702&play=1

 will go more into detail on this later sometime this week

AMBS-  This is why this was put on watchlist at .022 with target of .04-.08  we closed right near the highs .054 with amazing volume.  If volume keeps up like this we could easily test .08-.10  tomorrow.
.048-.05 is what i want to see hold tomorrow

LYJN still grinding higher.  .0065 now.
BBDA-  above .008 we will see this .01+  possibly break .02 former runner

NTE -  On oct 31 i said this would be trading at 15 before 2013.   Today, less than a week later we are at 15 on amazing volume. My new target is 18-20 before 2013.    I will write a blog post on why i said this would head much higher later this week to show u what i saw.



Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.

Watch 11-5-12

CMG-  Bearish bias-  I think this will drift lower if we can break 260 and stay below it.  First resistance 265 then 270.   want to see 262-265 become resistance for immediate term for a move lower this week.

SRPT-  Bullish bias.  I believe it has finally found a bottom would like to see $22 hold from now on but key suport 21.55-22   first target 25.50  then 27 then 30.     This is 23 points off the high with no multi-day bounce.

PCLN-  Big gap on good earnings but we closed 22 points off the high thats very bearish to me.  this looks like people are taking this chance to get out of the with even or with a small loss from the congestion area of 650-680.    A break of 630 i expect a retest of 610 or 600 fairly quickly.  Would like to see this stay below 640-642. If this holds above 640 my bias is changed to bullish.

FSLR-   I am still bullish on this trade as long as some supports hold  21.50-22 i want to see hold.  KEY support 20. The down day on earnings was on very light volume considering other down days which i think is important.    I took a position in Dec 23 calls and will add on any dips.  I have a 30 target on this before end of year if we can go back above 25.  

 ANTS-  .018-.02 if you accumulated shares congrats to you your up over 50%.We had highest volume day on ANTS in over a month.  I believe this will speed up on a .04 break and possibly go to .10+.    want to see .03 hold now

VHC-       To continue its uptrend i want to see 27.75-28 hold tomorrow.  The trial has just begun but i believe its being pressured down because of VRNG.
AZFL-   Holding .06 closed at the highs.  .09. up 50%  so far.   .12 target now and possibly this gets promoted.  
GMCR-   support 25.25  -25.60 . Break and hold above 26 and head towards 30.


Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.

Watch 11/2/12 Opex day

found a sub penny to put on watchlist

LYJN- Today we broke out key .0045. want to see this hold above .0046 tomorrow first target .0066  then .008   then anywhere between .01-.015 .  looking at the chart it has a history of making huge moves.  this was a pump a couple years ago.   Its also above 20 / 50/200 sma and i seen penny stocks make huge moves after this happens

AMBS  what  a sick move today. Support for tomorrow .016 i want to see it hold . above .022 i think this heads towards .04 - .08 over next several days.   Volume just started flowing in recently so this could be a big winner.

  GMCR-  options over 600% move.  Called it a buy above 24.50 and thats what i did.  in the money calls were .40 and .20 the ones i got.  hit 3 and 2.50  do the math.   Tomorrow  key support 23.80-24 i want to see this hold.  SBUX beat and is at 50 target from watchlist and tomorrow i expect a 28-29 test on GMCR resistance 27 and 27.50.  I may play next weeks calls not sure yet.  30 target by next week imo

also the long term downtrend GMCR broke

AAPL - 595 must hold- a bull market tomorrow we will test 610 and if we hold above 610 615-

also checkout yesterdays wathlist if u wanted to play earnings i think i was 75% right along with target prices.  PCLN i was dead on SBUX also

good luck tomorrow make that $$

Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.

watchlist 11/1/12 earnings predictions

Some earnings for tomorrow

LNKD  AIG LVS PCLN YELP SBUX TRIP ZAGG

FSLR


FSLR-  This chart looks sooo bullish to me.  just grinding higher every day . earnings is thursday after market close.  a break above 24.50 i think we will squeeze and break 26-27 same day.  This could happen tomorrow . shorts may want to cover.  If they beat earnings this could potentially gap up to 30
 IF they dont beat earnings then the chart looks ugly it could drop to 21

GMCR-  watch this one tomorrow with a bull market we could  have a big squeezer to 27.  SUBX reports after close tomorrow this will impact GMCR if u hold overnight.  This could also be the catalyst for GMCR to head towards 30 on a SBUX beat .  GMCR riding 10sma and a break above 24.50 we will rocket imo

Earnings predictions

FSLR-  I believe a beat and possibly move over 30  Bullish on this 1

LNKD - 107 close.  I bet a beat and move to 120.  Bullish bias.  If they dont beat and reduce guidance possibly 85 gap down

LVS-  46.50 close -  WYNN beat and gapped up.  I believe LVS beats 2  target 50  if they down beat drop to 42 possibly 40 - My bias is Bullish

 PCLN - 574 close-  its 200$ off the highs Since EXPE beat i expect PCLN to beat with a move to 640 . Thats 65point move .  Bullish bias i have.     Bearish side if they dont beat i expect this to drop to   515-520 possibly lower

SBUX  46 close-    beat a move to 50-52  .  im bullish on this.   mainly cause i want to play GMCR after haha   if no beat possibly 43 test

TRIP 30 close  -    EXPE beat im guessing a beat with them this time around and a gap to 37-40   im bullish on this name-   bearish target 26

ZAGG -   7.18 close-   bearish bias on them  i think their products are priced way to high.   i believe this tanks to 5.    

Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.

Watchlist 10-29-12

Tomorrow is probably going to be a slow day so not many stocks will be on watchlist.   Something i have seen on slow days there is always 1 stock that everyone plays. 1 that hasn't made a move in a while or 1 thats breaking out and it becomes the momo stock.  could possibly be GALE pending a breakout


ANTS- Ants Software (OTC)  - As stated on watchlist a week ago ANTS is holding .018-.02. This is a very thin stock and doesn't trade much volume.  We broke and closed above .024 as stated.  going foward i want to see this hold that level.  Targets would be .03 break .04 .06.  This could really speed up and possibly have a .10 test if volume flows in.

AZFL - Amazonas Florestal -  Sudden volume spike 2 days ago.  its currently up trending  Tomorrow i want to see hold .06 and break .07.  I took a small starter position with a stop .05.

GALE- Galena Biopharma  -  2.20 break tomorrow with volume we could see a 2.50 test.   We closed at the highs which is the best close in months.  support 2.07-2.10  

OCZ-  OCZ technology Group inc.   -  watch this one for a bottom bounce and a possibly swing to 1.50-2 .  If we hold 1.30 and break 1.40 we could have a nice squeeze for a couple days.

OPTIONS

GMCR- Green Mountain Coffee, Inc.    Really liking this setup for a 28-30 test near term.   Solid break and hold above 25 will send this.  Earnings in a month shorts may want to cover.  Also SBUX reports Thursday after close 11/1/12.  If they beat this will also fuel GMCR to head higher.  It could also go down if they do not beat.   Im looking at monthly calls for swing.   want to see 23.90-24 hold for tomorrow.

FB- Facebook, Inc  - i am short bias it has just sold off after earnings gap up. 230 million shares will be unlocked for insiders to start selling monday.   Watch volume price action i expect a gap fill to $20. 22.50 i want to see this stay below.

 Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.

watchlist 10-24-12 options

Just options today i dont care about the other stocks. 

VHC-  Tomorrow we 30 and squeeze hard possibly 31.50-33  and 35 by friday.   30 is key breakout with volume.  the best looking uptrend i have seen on a chart.  higher lows everyday.   this has been on watch since 23.50.  and has just been straight up.  Monthly options gave you a chance for 100%+  move.

28.90-29.30 support for tomorrow.  but i doubt we touch that we may just squeeze at open 

NFLX-   Another winner  off watchlist.   tomorrow we open between 55-57 .  Everyone who purchased past 2 weeks on those upgrades is at a loss now.   tomorrow we will test 53 imo.  i think funds will finally give up on NFLX,  and we test 50 by friday possibly break it.  

resistance 57.50 - 60 .    support who knows 53,55.   im in 60 weekly puts.   for daytrading i will be going in heavy on the monthly puts probably 55 or 57.50  and scalping all day long.  

BWLD-  another big winner.  this probably sells off tomorrow to 70  

SYNC-  gambling on earnings with this stock.  im doing this based off all the NIA pump emails about olympics.  looking at $5 strike calls   and if they happen to beat with good guidance we could easily see this trading at 8-10.  

MCP-  support 11 and target 12  squeeze  was upgraded today -  looking at the 11 calls weeklies and monthly 

Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.

Watchlist 10-23-12 with earnings plays

Earnings im watching                   Ones  i will probably play -  FB , NFLX , TPX    maybe PNRA
BWLD
FB
GILD
IRBT
NFLX
PNRA
QCOR
RSH pre market
TPX


BWLD. after CMG getting hit hard 2 times in a row after earnings.  i think this will be hit hard if they dont beat.  price target on BWLD 70  if they beat price 95 possibly

FB-  what a piece of shit stock.  biggest pump and dump in the entire market.i highly doubt they beat.   price target of   15  would probably go with nov 17 strike puts currently .60 so panic selling would drift this lower for several more days or weeks.  who knows maybe they pull a ZNGA and drop 50%  that would be funny.
if they manage to beat possible 24 -28 range.      for the znga lotto possible  17 puts if u can garb them for .20 or under

NFLX -  i hate netflix 80% of their movies suck and it takes them forever to have new ones put up.
this stock has a history of $20 moves.    
i think they will not beat earnings and it will finally have that big hit on the stock im talking about a 30 point drop by friday this time.  i believe funds will finally give up trying to find a bottom on this and all those people buying past 3 months will be bag holding and those who avg'd down from the 100's will be down even more

first target 50  then 40  is where we will find support.  but i hope this turd pulls a GMCR and takes a 50% hit on horrible guidance.

im looking at nov 60 strike puts around 2.70  for a longer term hold after a drop.
for weekly the 62.50 doesnt look bad if nflx goes to 50.   currently 2.70  those would be 12.50+  at 50
**PURE** lotto  for gmcr type move  - 50% haircut - 50 strike puts fro under .20 would be cool
so if this drops to 40 or lower $20 = 1k   better than the powerball

Bullish side=
if they beat  85-90 target

PNRA-   this is been doing so much better than CMG.  but maybe if they dont show good guidance this time it may take a big hit cause of CMG recent performance    
for extreme downside i think we test 140 -135.  but the premium is so dam high 155s dont look bad for 4.50
bullish side-  gap up to all time highs 175-180

TPX - im a bull on this 1. if they beat 40 and possible squeeze higher to 45
bear view -  25 or lower if they dont beat

RSH- if they beat pre market above 2.50 this could possibly test 3-3.50 lots of shorts

TAGG solid move today- support for tomorrow .14  possibly move to .18-.20 .  maybe they will actually give this one a chance.

VHC - support 27.60-27.80-  tomorrow we may break out flagging on daily .  i sold today but will probably get back in tomorrow if i like where its going . above 28.50 try to break 30

Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.

Watch list 10-22-12

SPY had the biggest big pullback in a while on friday closing near the lows.  after a move like this i believe we make a bounce on monday. the is the 2nd time we touched the 50sma this month. 143 support for now.

Lots of earnings this week and i will have posts on them and how im going to play.  my last post on CMG gave possible gains of over 500%

Major stocks on watch for bounce 

AAPL- had a 40 point drop in 3 days.  i expect a bounce to 620 tomorrow if market bounces too.  support 610.  if market red i think we test 600 and possibly break

GMCR - support 23.60-23.80 hold to continue the uptrend imo.  Target 27-29.  earnings a month away and shorts may want to cover before that.  has a history of making big moves.

VHC-  still in play has placed 9 days with higher lows. despite the major pullback in the market on friday VHC held up very well and put in a higher low.  this is still bouncing off my  hour trend-line as seen here. 

Support for tomorrow 27.40-27.60.  If market green i expect this to continue higher.  if not we may chop around for a couple days before the key 30 break happens. the starts this week so shorts may want to cover and push this higher. 

PCLN - support 555. we are at the gap down support  on watch for bounce play to 570.  If we dont hold 555 we could break 550 and head towards 540

CMG- Congrats all options made over 500% move . Resistance 245 and 248.  I expect more downside on CMG cause last earnings it sold off for a couple more days.  This weeks target 220.  If price action shows it wants higher im bullish with 250- 255 target. 

XIN -  3.10 major break out area.  support for tomorrow 2.90-3.  first target 3.20 , 3.50 , 4 .  chart history shows it can have mutli day runs.

GALE - Bounce watch-  key support 1.90  target 2 then 2.05-2.20.  

VRNG- Key support 3.75 . support for tomorrow 3.90.  I think we bounce tomorrow currently touching the uptrend line seen in chart below 

ANTS- Penny stock  made a sick move last month and held most of the move.  Key support .018-.02    with a break of .025 we could break .04.  this is a lower float penny stock.  Maybe we get a ATRN type of a move with this stock. 

Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.

Watch for 10-18-12 opex friday

This weeks watchlist has been crazy!  Seeing moves of over 300-1000% on the options  $VHC $FSLR  also today just got even better with $CMG   gave you guys my short bias  and my conservative target of $250 with 275-280 puts. Those options will likely be up 500% at the open and i expect more downside on the open.  Lets finish this week strong.

VHC-  Sick move  clearly stated last night with support and targets hit high of 29.38 today.  7 up days in a row on VHC  last time we have see this was in 2011 and it made a huge move.  Support for tomorrow 27.60-28. Tomorrow first resistance 28.50 then 29. tomorrow i expect this up move to continue and we will break 29 and squeeze to 30 and possibly squeeze even more and test 31-32.  30 has been major resistance on this.  this is heavily shorted and trial against AAPL coming soon.   **those 28 calls mentioned at .20 hit a high of 1.40 today 600% move **  

    FSLR -  Healthy consolidation today after a huge move.  support for tomorrow 24.80-25 and we could possibly break out and test 27-28  or we may just consolidate again.  For short side if it breakd below 24.60 and holds im short bias target 24 or lower depending on volume and price action.

CMG-  down to 250 today puts up over 200%.    I expect more downside tomorrow last earnings we had big 20-30$ intraday swing.  so maybe a squeeze to 265 then a drop to 240  and bounce.  ill post my thoughts on twitter for tomorrow .   target on short side for daytrade would be 240-230 for me.

FB- short bias against 19.50  possible target 18 tomorrow.  earnings next week i would look at nov calls and expect this stock to be trading at 15 after earnings.   support 18.90 currently

                            penny stocks
APDN - great move today been consolidating for about a week.  break above .21 we could retest its highs. first target .24 then .26

AKGC-* possible promo watch also a former runner some big blocks hit past week.  - .20 support and a break .25 with volume we could test .40 +

LOCM - 2.85 support. its already made a huge move. for daytrade above 3 we could possible squeeze 3.50.   tomorrow is Friday so if this doesn't breakdown shorts may cover.  holding its gains still

Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.