watchlist 11/1/12 earnings predictions

Some earnings for tomorrow

LNKD  AIG LVS PCLN YELP SBUX TRIP ZAGG

FSLR


FSLR-  This chart looks sooo bullish to me.  just grinding higher every day . earnings is thursday after market close.  a break above 24.50 i think we will squeeze and break 26-27 same day.  This could happen tomorrow . shorts may want to cover.  If they beat earnings this could potentially gap up to 30
 IF they dont beat earnings then the chart looks ugly it could drop to 21

GMCR-  watch this one tomorrow with a bull market we could  have a big squeezer to 27.  SUBX reports after close tomorrow this will impact GMCR if u hold overnight.  This could also be the catalyst for GMCR to head towards 30 on a SBUX beat .  GMCR riding 10sma and a break above 24.50 we will rocket imo

Earnings predictions

FSLR-  I believe a beat and possibly move over 30  Bullish on this 1

LNKD - 107 close.  I bet a beat and move to 120.  Bullish bias.  If they dont beat and reduce guidance possibly 85 gap down

LVS-  46.50 close -  WYNN beat and gapped up.  I believe LVS beats 2  target 50  if they down beat drop to 42 possibly 40 - My bias is Bullish

 PCLN - 574 close-  its 200$ off the highs Since EXPE beat i expect PCLN to beat with a move to 640 . Thats 65point move .  Bullish bias i have.     Bearish side if they dont beat i expect this to drop to   515-520 possibly lower

SBUX  46 close-    beat a move to 50-52  .  im bullish on this.   mainly cause i want to play GMCR after haha   if no beat possibly 43 test

TRIP 30 close  -    EXPE beat im guessing a beat with them this time around and a gap to 37-40   im bullish on this name-   bearish target 26

ZAGG -   7.18 close-   bearish bias on them  i think their products are priced way to high.   i believe this tanks to 5.    

Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.

Watchlist 10-29-12

Tomorrow is probably going to be a slow day so not many stocks will be on watchlist.   Something i have seen on slow days there is always 1 stock that everyone plays. 1 that hasn't made a move in a while or 1 thats breaking out and it becomes the momo stock.  could possibly be GALE pending a breakout


ANTS- Ants Software (OTC)  - As stated on watchlist a week ago ANTS is holding .018-.02. This is a very thin stock and doesn't trade much volume.  We broke and closed above .024 as stated.  going foward i want to see this hold that level.  Targets would be .03 break .04 .06.  This could really speed up and possibly have a .10 test if volume flows in.

AZFL - Amazonas Florestal -  Sudden volume spike 2 days ago.  its currently up trending  Tomorrow i want to see hold .06 and break .07.  I took a small starter position with a stop .05.

GALE- Galena Biopharma  -  2.20 break tomorrow with volume we could see a 2.50 test.   We closed at the highs which is the best close in months.  support 2.07-2.10  

OCZ-  OCZ technology Group inc.   -  watch this one for a bottom bounce and a possibly swing to 1.50-2 .  If we hold 1.30 and break 1.40 we could have a nice squeeze for a couple days.

OPTIONS

GMCR- Green Mountain Coffee, Inc.    Really liking this setup for a 28-30 test near term.   Solid break and hold above 25 will send this.  Earnings in a month shorts may want to cover.  Also SBUX reports Thursday after close 11/1/12.  If they beat this will also fuel GMCR to head higher.  It could also go down if they do not beat.   Im looking at monthly calls for swing.   want to see 23.90-24 hold for tomorrow.

FB- Facebook, Inc  - i am short bias it has just sold off after earnings gap up. 230 million shares will be unlocked for insiders to start selling monday.   Watch volume price action i expect a gap fill to $20. 22.50 i want to see this stay below.

 Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.

watchlist 10-24-12 options

Just options today i dont care about the other stocks. 

VHC-  Tomorrow we 30 and squeeze hard possibly 31.50-33  and 35 by friday.   30 is key breakout with volume.  the best looking uptrend i have seen on a chart.  higher lows everyday.   this has been on watch since 23.50.  and has just been straight up.  Monthly options gave you a chance for 100%+  move.

28.90-29.30 support for tomorrow.  but i doubt we touch that we may just squeeze at open 

NFLX-   Another winner  off watchlist.   tomorrow we open between 55-57 .  Everyone who purchased past 2 weeks on those upgrades is at a loss now.   tomorrow we will test 53 imo.  i think funds will finally give up on NFLX,  and we test 50 by friday possibly break it.  

resistance 57.50 - 60 .    support who knows 53,55.   im in 60 weekly puts.   for daytrading i will be going in heavy on the monthly puts probably 55 or 57.50  and scalping all day long.  

BWLD-  another big winner.  this probably sells off tomorrow to 70  

SYNC-  gambling on earnings with this stock.  im doing this based off all the NIA pump emails about olympics.  looking at $5 strike calls   and if they happen to beat with good guidance we could easily see this trading at 8-10.  

MCP-  support 11 and target 12  squeeze  was upgraded today -  looking at the 11 calls weeklies and monthly 

Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.

Watchlist 10-23-12 with earnings plays

Earnings im watching                   Ones  i will probably play -  FB , NFLX , TPX    maybe PNRA
BWLD
FB
GILD
IRBT
NFLX
PNRA
QCOR
RSH pre market
TPX


BWLD. after CMG getting hit hard 2 times in a row after earnings.  i think this will be hit hard if they dont beat.  price target on BWLD 70  if they beat price 95 possibly

FB-  what a piece of shit stock.  biggest pump and dump in the entire market.i highly doubt they beat.   price target of   15  would probably go with nov 17 strike puts currently .60 so panic selling would drift this lower for several more days or weeks.  who knows maybe they pull a ZNGA and drop 50%  that would be funny.
if they manage to beat possible 24 -28 range.      for the znga lotto possible  17 puts if u can garb them for .20 or under

NFLX -  i hate netflix 80% of their movies suck and it takes them forever to have new ones put up.
this stock has a history of $20 moves.    
i think they will not beat earnings and it will finally have that big hit on the stock im talking about a 30 point drop by friday this time.  i believe funds will finally give up trying to find a bottom on this and all those people buying past 3 months will be bag holding and those who avg'd down from the 100's will be down even more

first target 50  then 40  is where we will find support.  but i hope this turd pulls a GMCR and takes a 50% hit on horrible guidance.

im looking at nov 60 strike puts around 2.70  for a longer term hold after a drop.
for weekly the 62.50 doesnt look bad if nflx goes to 50.   currently 2.70  those would be 12.50+  at 50
**PURE** lotto  for gmcr type move  - 50% haircut - 50 strike puts fro under .20 would be cool
so if this drops to 40 or lower $20 = 1k   better than the powerball

Bullish side=
if they beat  85-90 target

PNRA-   this is been doing so much better than CMG.  but maybe if they dont show good guidance this time it may take a big hit cause of CMG recent performance    
for extreme downside i think we test 140 -135.  but the premium is so dam high 155s dont look bad for 4.50
bullish side-  gap up to all time highs 175-180

TPX - im a bull on this 1. if they beat 40 and possible squeeze higher to 45
bear view -  25 or lower if they dont beat

RSH- if they beat pre market above 2.50 this could possibly test 3-3.50 lots of shorts

TAGG solid move today- support for tomorrow .14  possibly move to .18-.20 .  maybe they will actually give this one a chance.

VHC - support 27.60-27.80-  tomorrow we may break out flagging on daily .  i sold today but will probably get back in tomorrow if i like where its going . above 28.50 try to break 30

Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.

Watch list 10-22-12

SPY had the biggest big pullback in a while on friday closing near the lows.  after a move like this i believe we make a bounce on monday. the is the 2nd time we touched the 50sma this month. 143 support for now.

Lots of earnings this week and i will have posts on them and how im going to play.  my last post on CMG gave possible gains of over 500%

Major stocks on watch for bounce 

AAPL- had a 40 point drop in 3 days.  i expect a bounce to 620 tomorrow if market bounces too.  support 610.  if market red i think we test 600 and possibly break

GMCR - support 23.60-23.80 hold to continue the uptrend imo.  Target 27-29.  earnings a month away and shorts may want to cover before that.  has a history of making big moves.

VHC-  still in play has placed 9 days with higher lows. despite the major pullback in the market on friday VHC held up very well and put in a higher low.  this is still bouncing off my  hour trend-line as seen here. 

Support for tomorrow 27.40-27.60.  If market green i expect this to continue higher.  if not we may chop around for a couple days before the key 30 break happens. the starts this week so shorts may want to cover and push this higher. 

PCLN - support 555. we are at the gap down support  on watch for bounce play to 570.  If we dont hold 555 we could break 550 and head towards 540

CMG- Congrats all options made over 500% move . Resistance 245 and 248.  I expect more downside on CMG cause last earnings it sold off for a couple more days.  This weeks target 220.  If price action shows it wants higher im bullish with 250- 255 target. 

XIN -  3.10 major break out area.  support for tomorrow 2.90-3.  first target 3.20 , 3.50 , 4 .  chart history shows it can have mutli day runs.

GALE - Bounce watch-  key support 1.90  target 2 then 2.05-2.20.  

VRNG- Key support 3.75 . support for tomorrow 3.90.  I think we bounce tomorrow currently touching the uptrend line seen in chart below 

ANTS- Penny stock  made a sick move last month and held most of the move.  Key support .018-.02    with a break of .025 we could break .04.  this is a lower float penny stock.  Maybe we get a ATRN type of a move with this stock. 

Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.

Watch for 10-18-12 opex friday

This weeks watchlist has been crazy!  Seeing moves of over 300-1000% on the options  $VHC $FSLR  also today just got even better with $CMG   gave you guys my short bias  and my conservative target of $250 with 275-280 puts. Those options will likely be up 500% at the open and i expect more downside on the open.  Lets finish this week strong.

VHC-  Sick move  clearly stated last night with support and targets hit high of 29.38 today.  7 up days in a row on VHC  last time we have see this was in 2011 and it made a huge move.  Support for tomorrow 27.60-28. Tomorrow first resistance 28.50 then 29. tomorrow i expect this up move to continue and we will break 29 and squeeze to 30 and possibly squeeze even more and test 31-32.  30 has been major resistance on this.  this is heavily shorted and trial against AAPL coming soon.   **those 28 calls mentioned at .20 hit a high of 1.40 today 600% move **  

    FSLR -  Healthy consolidation today after a huge move.  support for tomorrow 24.80-25 and we could possibly break out and test 27-28  or we may just consolidate again.  For short side if it breakd below 24.60 and holds im short bias target 24 or lower depending on volume and price action.

CMG-  down to 250 today puts up over 200%.    I expect more downside tomorrow last earnings we had big 20-30$ intraday swing.  so maybe a squeeze to 265 then a drop to 240  and bounce.  ill post my thoughts on twitter for tomorrow .   target on short side for daytrade would be 240-230 for me.

FB- short bias against 19.50  possible target 18 tomorrow.  earnings next week i would look at nov calls and expect this stock to be trading at 15 after earnings.   support 18.90 currently

                            penny stocks
APDN - great move today been consolidating for about a week.  break above .21 we could retest its highs. first target .24 then .26

AKGC-* possible promo watch also a former runner some big blocks hit past week.  - .20 support and a break .25 with volume we could test .40 +

LOCM - 2.85 support. its already made a huge move. for daytrade above 3 we could possible squeeze 3.50.   tomorrow is Friday so if this doesn't breakdown shorts may cover.  holding its gains still

Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.

Watchlist 10-18-2012 with Earnings gambles

VHC- Sick move today with great volume.  Today marked 6 straight green days all year.  27 held strong today. New support for tomorrow 27- 27.40 must to stay above that to continue uptrend.  tomorrow i expect to see a 28.50 -29 test with volume of 700k. If we can get over 1 million volume we could possible test 30 tomorrow.

 FSLR-  support for tomorrow 24.75-25.  and a move to break 26  if it doesnt it may consolidate for a couple days before it heads back up.  put on watchlist day 1 at around 22  said this would test 26 near term and it did so in 2 days. any of the options purchased this week i believe are all up over 500%. If you played conservative monthly calls itm 22 strike up 100%.

BWEN  - Gap up on news ah.  Want to see this hold 2.30 tomorrow and we could test 2.80-3  this was a former runner 2.20 broke downtrend line

SIFY - Great move today highest volume in a long time. Close far off its highs but i believe we may see more upside. support 2.60-2.70. possible weak open and r/g and a move towards 3 again

ARNA- great move today target for tomorrow 10.50-11. support 9.80.   Options im currently in up over 50% .  will take profits tomorrow likely

                                                        EARNINGS  Plays  = PURE GAMBLES
CMG-
This is my main earnings play.  I have a short bias against this stock cause i think its a over valued pig and i personally hate chipotle.   Recently  David Einhorn bashed this stock and it plummeted about 15 points and faded days later.
* David bashed HLF on  5/1/12  and it plummeted nearly 50% in 3 days.   GMCR reported earnings 5/2/12 and that plummeted 50% over night on poor guidance or something.
* for CMG  i am looking for another einhorn effect.   From his last 2 shorts being so successful.
 a conservative drop target on cmg is $250    now if that happens the einhorn effect will take place and we will head to 230 possibly from that happen cmg will have given up almost 2 years of its gains and people who are still bag holding from above 300 will start selling and shorts plowing in we could potentially test 200-210 VERY HIGH end goal 

***remember anything is possible ** look at NFLX  and MLNX from last night

Options strike prices  im looking to play
   For the conservative target of 250 im looking at  280 - 275 puts
For the high end target of 230 im looking at 255-250 puts
VERY HIGH  of 200-210 target 230-225  are a  PURE LOTTO 

just incase i want to hedge i may grab 310-315 calls  with 350 target if they beat.

David my life is in your hands.

**WORST CASE SCENARIO THE STOCK MOVES LIKE 20 BUCKS AND FU**S ME OVER**

also tomorrow  my baby
GOOG  i love this company  if they beat 800 target if they dont  i dont think it goes down much but if it does 700 maybe

SNDK   if they beat target 52   if they dont target 37   - closed 44.50 today

Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.

Watchlist for 10-17-2012

VHC-   This gonna be long in detail .   

As stated last night we held support 25.50-25.75.  Today we closed near the day highs.  We had bullish buying last 10 minutes today.  Today marked the 5th green day on the uptrend.  Tomorrow will be a big day imo.  We have not had 6 green days in a row all year.  Tomorrow we close green that trend will be broken. History showed its always been 5 and then red. I believe tomorrow we will gap and open above $27 because currently we are above 26.50 in after hours.   On a  27.50 break i believe we will have a 1 million + volume day tomorrow and close around 28.50-29 and reach 30 by friday.  I am very bullish on the stock.  Since i have a price target of 30 on this stock by friday the options that expire this week could potentially see gains of 10x or more.  

Support i want to see hold tomorrow is 26.50 -27 if it gaps up  

 

ARNA -Still very bullish on this stock.  would like to see 9.25 hold tomorrow and a break of 9.50 with volume we could easily test 10-10.50.  Im currently long nov 9 strike calls.  

FSLR- Amazing move today exactly what i saw coming.  Tomorrow support 23.25-23.50 i want to see hold and we could test 25-26  by friday.  Playing anything of the options that expire today would have rewarded you with gains well over 100%.  Longer term monthly options well over 50% 

DMND- the end of day rally caught my scanner.  Main support is 18 on this. want to see it break 19 and hold above there with a target price of 21-25.  remember this is a heavily shorted stock and it has those squeeze days. I am looking at the 18 -20 strike calls nov expire  

                                                                  Stocks 

 GALE- bullish close today.  the move is going to come by friday i hope  target 2.20-2.40 on the squeeze . its been slowly grinding higher every day

STEM - higher highs and higher lows with great volume  still play with target new 52s  support 2.30 for tomorrow