NO PDT BROKER

Wednesday, November 28, 2012

Earnings for today 11/28/12

ARO   Aeropostale

Yes their clothes may suck but ANF and  AEO both beat.  i expect this to beat to

gap down from 19.50 it has i think if we get a beat and better guidance we could see 17-18 range.

if they down beat this time this could drop below $10   .  history for this shows lots of gap downs past 3 years

im gonna go against the history this time and if i play this going with 14 or 15 strike calls

on put side  if this doesnt beat and goes to 10 or lower those 12 strike puts going for .35 will be multi baggers


GES

move to 28-30 on a beat    the crazy scenario  move to 34 a 10 point move

i think  im doing the 25/28 call spread on ges
 pay .90 and max gain of 3  so 2 cons 180  $410 max profit
or just buy 1 25 call for 1.40
 this goes to 28 i sell for 3 maybe 3.50  extreme case 30 (5.50)or 34(9.50 )

 wday
the premium is 2 high and i would probably short this turd i think we will drop below ipo price  45 break maybe to 40

not playing but bearish on that

Tuesday, November 27, 2012

FSLR option trade 11/27/12 " First Solar"

Have you guys been following my twitter or reading my watchlists?

Today the market gave us a gift! It offered amazing risk reward opportunity and I took advantage of it.  The trade today was on First Solar (FSLR).

I was in stockhaven chat room giving basically a play by play on fslr right before the big move.
Said  FSLR is gearing on 5-15 min chart and second we break 26 we will squeeze to 27 and some change fast.  That squeeze happened and gave you opportunity for at least 150% gain on weeklies if not more in 5-10 minutes.  The daily chart was telling me today was the day be ready.  I was semi ready. that pull back in the first hour of the day i got shaken i sold half my position.  then i saw the gearing i purchased that position right back.  

As i was watching the 5 minute chart and felt the move about to come i was 10 seconds late from taking a huge position on the 26 weekly calls at .50  for a quick scalp on that pop.



Some examples of options return on FSLR move  Safest plays for weeklies u could have played 25 or 25.50 and gotten well over 100%

i still have monthly calls i sold all weekly calls.  i will be trading weekly calls tomorrow if i like the price action. i still think we head to 30 by friday

i traded the 25 weekly from .50 to 2.05
  the 25.50 weekly from .55 to 1.50
 27 monthlies from .88 to 1.50 still have half position.
long term position i tweeted about jan 24 strike calls from 2.40   today hit 4.15 - still long these

Sunday, November 25, 2012

11/26/12 earnings week

We have a lot of companies reporting earnings this week   most of them on Wednesday/Thursday

The main ones i will play  - they report tuesday after market close
FMCN
GMCR  
PVH - i might play this not sure yet


some other stocks that are reporting that may make good daytrades
CHC     monday after close
GAME   monday after close
HI         monday after close
BV             monday after close
ADT            tuesday pre market
CSUN      tuesday pre market


Watchlist with commentary featured here:  http://stockhaven.com/stock-forum/watchlists-group1/pennies-picks-forum1/112612-some-earnings-thread38.0/#postid-68

Monday, November 12, 2012

11-13-12 watchlist

GMCR
DMND
FSLR
MSLP
IMH
VRNG
VHC

Watch list here : http://stockhaven.com/stock-forum/watchlists-group1/pennies-picks-forum1/11-13-12-watch-thread20.0/#postid-28

Sunday, November 11, 2012

11-12-12 Watchlist

VRNG
IMG
FB
PCS
AAPL
DANG

Watch list featured here:
http://stockhaven.com/stock-forum/watchlists-group1/pennies-picks-forum1/11-12-12-watchlist-thread19.0/#postid-27

Tuesday, November 6, 2012

Watchlist 11-7-12

GMCR-  above 25.30-25.50 this will rip hard. depending on market .  target will be 27.   support 25







FSLR-  24.50 support tomorrow  break above 25.10 this could squeeze to 27  depending on market.  or they announce some sort of news and this gaps to 26-27 tomorrow and ruins the trade for me lol





VHC - Bam!!  They won against Apple and have to pay 368 million rumors are.  i got it from here " http://appleinsider.com/articles/12/11/06/apple-loses-virnetx-patent-trial-ordered-to-pay-368m"

40% float short and some more probably jumped in the past week.    Dont know where its going i have to see where it opens tomorrow just a guess 35?

368 million is about 7-8$ cash  to stock price . so from the close of 26.30 so should be like $33

but this is in play tomorrow.  


AAPL -  IT may be a short on the VHC news


Monday, November 5, 2012

watchlist 11/6/12

FSLR-  above 23.50 tomorrow we head to 25 possibly higher depending on market.   Weekly options could make 100%+ move tomorrow watch them .
EGHT-  earnings winner.   i have a $9-10 target with a hold above 7      dec 22 expire 7.50 calls going for .30-.40  and feb 2013 expire going for .60.  This could possibly head much higher than 10.  
Support for tomorrow 6.60

little info on the company ceo on mad money http://video.cnbc.com/gallery/?video=3000118702&play=1

 will go more into detail on this later sometime this week
AMBS-  This is why this was put on watchlist at .022 with target of .04-.08  we closed right near the highs .054 with amazing volume.  If volume keeps up like this we could easily test .08-.10  tomorrow.
.048-.05 is what i want to see hold tomorrow


LYJN still grinding higher.  .0065 now.
BBDA-  above .008 we will see this .01+  possibly break .02 former runner

NTE -  On oct 31 i said this would be trading at 15 before 2013.   Today, less than a week later we are at 15 on amazing volume. My new target is 18-20 before 2013.    I will write a blog post on why i said this would head much higher later this week to show u what i saw.



Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.


Sunday, November 4, 2012

Watch 11-5-12

CMG-  Bearish bias-  I think this will drift lower if we can break 260 and stay below it.  First resistance 265 then 270.   want to see 262-265 become resistance for immediate term for a move lower this week.
SRPT-  Bullish bias.  I believe it has finally found a bottom would like to see $22 hold from now on but key suport 21.55-22   first target 25.50  then 27 then 30.     This is 23 points off the high with no multi-day bounce.
PCLN-  Big gap on good earnings but we closed 22 points off the high thats very bearish to me.  this looks like people are taking this chance to get out of the with even or with a small loss from the congestion area of 650-680.    A break of 630 i expect a retest of 610 or 600 fairly quickly.  Would like to see this stay below 640-642. If this holds above 640 my bias is changed to bullish.
FSLR-   I am still bullish on this trade as long as some supports hold  21.50-22 i want to see hold.  KEY support 20. The down day on earnings was on very light volume considering other down days which i think is important.    I took a position in Dec 23 calls and will add on any dips.  I have a 30 target on this before end of year if we can go back above 25.  
 ANTS-  .018-.02 if you accumulated shares congrats to you your up over 50%.We had highest volume day on ANTS in over a month.  I believe this will speed up on a .04 break and possibly go to .10+.    want to see .03 hold now
VHC-       To continue its uptrend i want to see 27.75-28 hold tomorrow.  The trial has just begun but i believe its being pressured down because of VRNG.
AZFL-   Holding .06 closed at the highs.  .09. up 50%  so far.   .12 target now and possibly this gets promoted.  
GMCR-   support 25.25  -25.60 . Break and hold above 26 and head towards 30.


Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.

Thursday, November 1, 2012

Watch 11/2/12 Opex day

found a sub penny to put on watchlist

LYJN- Today we broke out key .0045. want to see this hold above .0046 tomorrow first target .0066  then .008   then anywhere between .01-.015 .  looking at the chart it has a history of making huge moves.  this was a pump a couple years ago.   Its also above 20 / 50/200 sma and i seen penny stocks make huge moves after this happens

AMBS  what  a sick move today. Support for tomorrow .016 i want to see it hold . above .022 i think this heads towards .04 - .08 over next several days.   Volume just started flowing in recently so this could be a big winner.
  GMCR-  options over 600% move.  Called it a buy above 24.50 and thats what i did.  in the money calls were .40 and .20 the ones i got.  hit 3 and 2.50  do the math.   Tomorrow  key support 23.80-24 i want to see this hold.  SBUX beat and is at 50 target from watchlist and tomorrow i expect a 28-29 test on GMCR resistance 27 and 27.50.  I may play next weeks calls not sure yet.  30 target by next week imo
also the long term downtrend GMCR broke
AAPL - 595 must hold- a bull market tomorrow we will test 610 and if we hold above 610 615-


also checkout yesterdays wathlist if u wanted to play earnings i think i was 75% right along with target prices.  PCLN i was dead on SBUX also

good luck tomorrow make that $$

Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.