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Thursday, October 17, 2013

ONVO the next TSLA?

                                                      ONVO  Organovo Holdings Inc 

Delayed this blog post for sometime but its finally time to stop being lazy and write it up.  My thoughts are not organized but just read it anyways.

I believe that ONVO will be the next TSLA  like mover.. but even bigger.

here is a video of theirs from the site : http://www.organovo.com/


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-A-uH15bQZw


I dont do research or anything like that. i just read up a few things on the company and thats all and i base my predictions off what i think is possible.

Example:  about 2 years ago i was pumping TSLA  this was trading in the 25-30s  i said that this will be the "future".  This stock is the AAPL of  Cars  everyone is going to want one and all they need is a spark to lite the fire on the stock for it to run to the 100's-200's. Especially since this was heavily shorted stock nobody understood the potential of this company  yet 40% of the float was short in the 30s,  man those dumb people . the stock did nothing for 2 years stayed in a 27-40 range then news hit gap the stock above 40 and bam the fire was lit.

Onvo  3-D printing of organs and stuff like that read the site to get the exact info.  
IF the company does succeed in doing so this will be WORLD changing.  This will be the biggest company in the world  i would have to assume in the 10's -100's of billions $$$.
think about it how much would you pay for a new liver?  Heart? Kidney? etc......

$6  and 450 million market cap  (info from Google finance)   currently
lets slap on a 10 billion market cap this puts the stock $130-150   20x currently levels  

now  this is a SPECULATIVE investment    think of this as a lotto that if it works out u can turn 10k into 200k+     the upside is limitless

blah blah blah    long story short    i believe this company has potential to become something huge

short term targets 6.30 break target 7.50  8.50  then  $10

LONG TERM PRICE TARGET  $100-200+  could be years from now who knows

any kind of good pr could spark a huge move in this but currently based on the chart long term consolidation smart money loading up below 6    sooner or later the sellers at 6 will vanish and this will be in the 10's
thats my current target $10  by next month
i got shares and options i will trade in and out of it


 





Saturday, October 5, 2013

FNMA 3rd epic run coming? $10?

FNMA currently 1.49

Wanted to do a blog post on this 2 weeks ago but got lazy.   Currently the stock has held $1 and when i thought it was over i was wrong and since it has held $1 i said at 1.25 the bottom on FNMA is in and that i believe we could be in store for a possible 3rd pump in 1 year.  Expect the unexpected  nobody thinks that FNMA is going to run again lets face it.
First run was .30 to 1.47 basically 400% 5 days.
2nd run happened after about month and half of consolidation. lets say avg entry on that .82  to 5.20  550% about .

now we crashed from 5.20s to 1 so the beauty of it is we didnt break $1  there is a buyer there that held it up for a reason as i see it.

currently we had our first 40million+ vol day after 2 months of doing nothing.  now i believe that we could potentially see a 3rd run in this stock before 2014 but it may take some time.

Lets do some math  lets say the avg consolidation area for FNMA was 1.20-1.30  the last run had a 150% increase lets give this also 150% .  so it runs 700% from the 1.25ish consolidation that brings this to $10-11 a share if we do get a 3rd run.

remember these are all "IFS"  

what i want to see is back to back at least 60-70 million increasing volume to signal a possible 3rd leg up.  they key breaking point is $2 and we need to get over that and possibly consolidate over there for a little while but if thats possible and the volume comes in we might have a monster mover going into 2014 imo.

if the 3rd run does start we will need to see at least 120-150 mill vol days above $2 just to cover the bag holders from the past run

i am now watching this stock every day looking for certain volume/price signals to tell me what it wants to do  ill post some charts below
Daily chart below

Resistances  1.80 and $2  and 2.40




All my thoughts are jumbled up there.  but im long 1k and will hold as long as previous weeks low is not broken which is 1.26 currently  i will be daytrading this whenever volume and range opens up.  i will add more to my long position once i get those huge volume days 60mill+ at the min



Tuesday, April 30, 2013

GMCR trade idea for tomorrow/this week

GMCR to me looks like it is setting up for a move to 61-62.50 by this week
i think markets got to rip past 1600 for this to happen  SPY 160-162

27% float short about 30-33 million shares

Break and hold above 58-58.30   target 60  then move to 61 then 62.50

Currently the stock has been in a 1 month consolidation
seen here

the current avg daily volume is 2.5 million

as you can see from the chart last time we had 2 green days it followed it by 2 more green days.

past 2 days i have noticed buyers at 56 holding this and then 57 today.

big move scenario
what i want to see based on volume to suggest that we may see a 5+ million volume day and possible a $2-3$ range  big 1 day move

3 minute volume pace of 50k shares      for a regular 2.5-3.5 mill vol   prob looking at a 20 k 3 min vol pace
5 min volume pace of 75k shares                                      35k

30 min candle 400-500k vol pace                          200-260k



or gmcr could just keep up with the low volume move higher  and put in a 3-3.5 mill volume day and creep higher $1-1.75 before a breakout.   but i feel that with this being a momentum stock that it will be picked up again and get pushed past 60 in 1 day move

closing price of the options on tuesday   just got it off google finance
if i see volume confirm for a possible  big move tomorrow i might go in heavy on the 58s for a daytrade and
59s for a lotto   and 57.50s for a swing

56.001.60+0.291.661.79411251
57.000.95+0.180.991.07336443
57.500.72+0.100.710.79240772
58.000.51+0.090.490.56257648
59.000.15-0.070.190.24263315
60.000.10-0.010.050.17267506
61.000.060.000.010.045227


im long some gmcr 57.50 weekly calls.

Monday, March 11, 2013

GSVC twitter ipo run up 5bagger?

March 11 2013

MY PRICE TARGET for run up $13-15

the options are sooooo cheap

just found a good trade idea that could bring in 500%+ profits on a run up for twitter ipo

this stock made a pretty sick run into the FB ipo went from  $13 to $20 pretty nice move then crashed after the ipo cause fb sucks

Stock is  =  GSVC     GSV capital Corp

current price 8.87

11/14/12  bottom was put in at $7

stock seems to have bottomed and is gearing for a move higher prob to 10s near term.

article here says the ipo could be in august
http://www.businessinsider.com/why-twitters-ads-api-launch-suggests-an-ipo-might-follow-in-august-2013-2

seeking alpha article someone wrote
http://seekingalpha.com/article/1013391-2-ways-to-acquire-a-stake-in-twitter-at-a-discount

Sept 7.50  calls  currently 1.60-1.80   the premium on this is incredibly cheap   this gives you 6 months for the run up to happen.

the chart itself looks like it wants to run to 10 meaning those calls will be 2.50 + so 50%+ gain even without a catalyst


current support 8.00-8.30  

resistances 10 , 11


Wednesday, February 27, 2013

GMCR trading journal 2-28-13

i like GMCR and i think its ready to make a move to 50 by tomorrow or  friday if volume comes in.  if not by next week.

this could go to 48.50-49 tomorrow then on friday we can possible have a big push and maybe tap 51-52 on a 50 break

3.6 million shares traded today closed near highs but most importantly closed above 46.50

$1.65 move on 3.6 mil vol

for a move to 50 tomorrow would require  greater than >10 million shares  cause of all the volume traded between $47-49  on feb 5-6



to signal a move higher tomorrow 

3 min  > .30 move on over  80-100k shares  breaking above $47 mark 

1 min > 30 k  head up 

5 min  >90k constant at open 

15 min > 300-350k 

60 min  > 1.2 million 

i want volume to keep rising  while price is headed higher to signal a strong move right out of gate
Example   3 min 80k shares , next 3 min 110 k shares  next 3 min 130 k    
something like that

intraday supports it put in

46.75
46.50
46


I really dont want to see it below 46.50

some resistances 47.50, 48 , 49   50   , 50.50


hourly


Friday, February 22, 2013

What to do and what not to do

some important things i learned this week  

What not to do 
====  Do not try to front load a sub penny that has very little liquidity to try and predict a run is going to happen.   you are gonna get fucked and end up -50%

==== no not try to predict a breakout when the volume is not there.

=== DO not waste time on a stock that has no fucking range that day   re:aapl

===



what to do

When a stock has been selling off real hard for 4-5 days keep a fucking eye on it the next day cause the bounce on it will be huge 30-60%   re:  ERBB  PHOT MJNA
make sure you go all in on the bounce and make bank


when a stock with a very good catalyst and news hits on the catalyst  while its in a dowtrend buy fucking call options and hold that shit  re:  znga 


Monday, February 18, 2013

2-18-13 Q & A

Q: any stocks that might have a uptrend developing in the NASDAQ/OTC markets?

The stocks im watching for a continuation of its uptrend .  ZNGA long bias against 3.10-3.20  and  CERP over .05 should have a nice multi day run to .10-15 area 

Q:Thoughts on ? Looks ready for next level if market cooperates. Agree? Thank you.

Yes if markets keep heading higher and GS keeps going i believe that MS will head higher. right now it looks like MS wants to consolidate between 22.60-24 for a while.


Q: made good money on  pump and dump, is there legs to this new spike which has climbed slower?

Im short bias  between .80-.86 i think this will dump on Tuesday.  this was almost 100% dead cat bounce.   Needs to hold .80 imo

Thursday, February 7, 2013

Suretrader for Daytrading?

Suretrader is a broker that I have been with for over a year. I signed up with them before most others did. This broker is based in the Bahamas.  Owned by the guy who owns Speedtrader.  They use the platform called Das Trader  www.dastrader.com  .

Suretrader Click here : https://www.suretrader.com/?a=113edb9e-694f-4c6d-a75f-c452b090c525
Or click on the banner on the side or top of the blog

The awesomeness of Suretrader

NO PDT rule  You do not need $25,000 to trade with them unlike the brokers in the U.S.  If you are like me and have a small account this broker is perfect for you. 

   Margin account $500     

All you guys who only have maybe 2,000  have no fear u can daytrade as much as u want any day with these guys.


The list of available stocks to short is AMAZING they did not have shorts like this until a few months ago.   Before they sometimes had shorts on penny stocks from OTC's to NASDAQ  .01-$3  but it had to be done via trading desk.  I believe that costed $50 to locate and short it.  Right now you can short penny stocks via the platform which is awesome. here take a look at what i mean (recent penny stock pumps that you could have shorted and made money off of Pic 1)
This is what the montage/charts/time sales looks like on the platform.   the recent weed penny stocks which were going nuts were shortable with suretrader on the platform.
You can see the  "S "  on the montage window.  when you see that it means its shortable.   

Best part about shorting INTRA-DAY shorting you are not restricted to the $2.50 rule that most brokers have.  ( the rule is only applied if u want to hold your short overnight)
  Example with $5,000 account:  MJNA is at .40 and you can short 12,500 shares 

with other brokers you can short only 2,000 shares cause of the 2.50 rule. If you wanted to short 12,500 shares with another broker you would need $31,250 cash in that account

(pic 1)
There is no level 2 in the picture cause i don't pay for it i have etrade for level 2. 


some other perks
MARGIN! :)  
(Please understand the risks of using margin. Not everyone is comfortable with it like i am.)

Margin for Overnight positions 2:1 and they charge interest. 
They offer  6:1 intra day margin for most stocks priced above $3. meaning (5k x 6 = 30k margin)

And it gets better they offer 50% margin on penny stocks and options.  

I have a $5,000 in the account.  I can purchase up to $7,500 worth of penny stocks or options.


Trades are $4.95 for 1,000 shares and .00495 per share after

But if u sign up with me its $4.95 for 10,000 shares .000495 per share after ;)

For options its 4.95 + $1 per con.   Thats not bad imo.  Etrade charges $10 + .75 per con 

this will get expensive if u try to buy 100,000 shares of a stock at .01 and try to scalp it for 10-20%
$50 to buy and 50 to sell =$100  

Note:  I do not trade stocks priced below .03 with suretrader  i have etrade for big share size orders

They do have platform fees and wire out fees which i get asked about often.
go on the site to look at the fees and see if you find it reasonable.

I believe thats all. I hope i didnt miss anything.  Thanks for reading

              IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS ASK IN THE COMMENT SECTION BELOW


Suretrader Click here : https://www.suretrader.com/?a=113edb9e-694f-4c6d-a75f-c452b090c525
Or click on the banner on the side or top of the blog


Monday, February 4, 2013

ZNGA and earnings after close tomorrow

ZNGA i believe has found a base and shouldn't go below $2.  Earnings tomorrow will decide the direction for 2013.   with them working on legal online gambling and all that goes through this could be a 7-10$ stock again

for earnings i think any time of beat mixed in with some sort of good news could send this to 3-3.50 level maybe higher who knows  thats what im hoping for  weekly chart gap fill to 4+ in the next month or so after earnings?  that would be sick lol


if i play this i may grab feb or march monthly $3  strike calls   for complete lottos maybe this weeks
or maybe call calendar 3.50  looks like its going for .01  not sure yet



Daily chart
Weely

monthly chart 

Monday, January 21, 2013

1-22-12 Earnings season is back

some earnings coming out pre market tomorrow

FCX
DAL
EAT               these 3 could be fun daytrades

companies reporting  After market close on tuesday
EZPW
GOOG  
IBM
ISRG
IGT
VLTR
TUES   -- i went shopping there once and it was a cool store.  think they will beat

not sure which i will play  will post on twitter if i do play any of these

GOOG  - Watch out if daytrading this tomorrow earnings came out unexpectedly last time and if your on the wrong side of the trade -90% in seconds .   For earnings i believe they will beat and a move to 760-780 is possible.  They recently came out with Nexus 7 and 10.  believe this will help drive google a lil    .  if they do not beat we could see 640-650   my bias Bullish
ISRG - Citron recently attacked ISRG causing a 75 point drop in 3 days.  They say its a short to 300$
with earnings and any possible bad guidance we could see a huge 100 point drop on ISRG possible move to 410.reason for the 410 target after earnings cause of the citron bash on a beat i believe a move to 550-575  
my bias bearish
IBM -  dont really have a bias on this one its either gonna move up  or down 10-15 points
if i had to chose one i would say down  so target of mine would be 180-185
IGT  since it took sooo long for this stock to fill the gap from what i believe was last earnings report. any short of bad news could drop this stock to $10.  good earnings we could see this at 17-18
VLTR -  sock has been on  major downtrend and currently sits at support from years ago   i believe this could have a beat and good guidance for the year target would be a move to $20    if this had bad earnings might just see $12 or lower   my bias bullish

Tuesday, January 8, 2013

Sprint Trade Major breakout 1-8-12

S :   Sprint is on verge of a major breakout which could result in gains well over 500% probably 1000%

I believe this move will happen this month based off the chart.

Jan 19 $6 calls going for .04-.05  i think thats pretty cheap gives u until next week to move
Jan 25 $6  going for .06-.08  giving u 3 weeks
feb 1 $6 calls around .07-.11
Going off my belief of this move happening this month those feb1 calls will be 500-1000% gainer

i took some of jan 19's at .05 starter if i feel move coming ill take bigger position

Fisrt target point $6.50
2nd target point :$7

Charts in multiple time frames







Thursday, January 3, 2013

APS pump FARE and why its going higher

Here is aps pump FARE and why its about to make a sick move higher going to follow its other pick TAGG

What i expect friday at the open we should gap over .23 preferably over .24 should see over 4-5million in a 15 minute candle price action headed higher
should see on 3 minute candle over 1 million shares headed higher

it should not go below the close of today  .223 tomorrow imo

im long a lot of shares and will look to sell tomorrow my target is .30

Ill show u some pictures from TAGG 15 minute

here is FARE 15 minute


here is TAGG hour and 30 min chart if ur interested