NO PDT BROKER

Monday, October 22, 2012

Watchlist 10-23-12 with earnings plays

Earnings im watching                   Ones  i will probably play -  FB , NFLX , TPX    maybe PNRA
BWLD
FB
GILD
IRBT
NFLX
PNRA
QCOR
RSH pre market
TPX


BWLD. after CMG getting hit hard 2 times in a row after earnings.  i think this will be hit hard if they dont beat.  price target on BWLD 70  if they beat price 95 possibly
FB-  what a piece of shit stock.  biggest pump and dump in the entire market.i highly doubt they beat.   price target of   15  would probably go with nov 17 strike puts currently .60 so panic selling would drift this lower for several more days or weeks.  who knows maybe they pull a ZNGA and drop 50%  that would be funny.
if they manage to beat possible 24 -28 range.      for the znga lotto possible  17 puts if u can garb them for .20 or under
NFLX -  i hate netflix 80% of their movies suck and it takes them forever to have new ones put up.
this stock has a history of $20 moves.    
i think they will not beat earnings and it will finally have that big hit on the stock im talking about a 30 point drop by friday this time.  i believe funds will finally give up trying to find a bottom on this and all those people buying past 3 months will be bag holding and those who avg'd down from the 100's will be down even more

first target 50  then 40  is where we will find support.  but i hope this turd pulls a GMCR and takes a 50% hit on horrible guidance.

im looking at nov 60 strike puts around 2.70  for a longer term hold after a drop.
for weekly the 62.50 doesnt look bad if nflx goes to 50.   currently 2.70  those would be 12.50+  at 50
**PURE** lotto  for gmcr type move  - 50% haircut - 50 strike puts fro under .20 would be cool
so if this drops to 40 or lower $20 = 1k   better than the powerball

Bullish side=
if they beat  85-90 target



PNRA-   this is been doing so much better than CMG.  but maybe if they dont show good guidance this time it may take a big hit cause of CMG recent performance    
for extreme downside i think we test 140 -135.  but the premium is so dam high 155s dont look bad for 4.50
bullish side-  gap up to all time highs 175-180
TPX - im a bull on this 1. if they beat 40 and possible squeeze higher to 45
bear view -  25 or lower if they dont beat
RSH- if they beat pre market above 2.50 this could possibly test 3-3.50 lots of shorts
TAGG solid move today- support for tomorrow .14  possibly move to .18-.20 .  maybe they will actually give this one a chance.

VHC - support 27.60-27.80-  tomorrow we may break out flagging on daily .  i sold today but will probably get back in tomorrow if i like where its going . above 28.50 try to break 30

Remember this is just a watchlist and do not guarantee to be profitable trades. Use your own judgment when making the trade.



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